It seems we are back to the 2011 Papandreu’s implausible estimates from privatizations. Here is my take from Jan 2014.
On the surface, Tsipras’ decision to hold a Referendum on the EU agreement proposal seems irreprehensible. This is a crucial decision for Greece which would have far reaching economic and political implications for the next few years (Drachma vs Euro, Russia/EU influence). Democracy requires that the people should decide. This narrative is nonsense. Tsipras has […]
The current state of affairs in the Greece’s drama makes Grexit slightly more likely than the alternative of Greece staying in the Eurozone. The Greek Parliament has just approved the Referendum proposed by Prime Minister Tsipras for voters to approve or reject the creditors’ proposal on July the 5th. Now the unfolding of events looks […]
On june 3 I took part to the Conference on ” A new growth Model for the Greek Economy” presenting a paper “What went wrong (and how to fix it): lessons for Europe from the Greek crisis”. Here are the slides of my presentation, here is my Voxeu Column and here the version in Italian
The next two weeks are going to be crucial for the Greek saga. The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung reports that the Greek government has about until the first week of April before running out of cash. Assuming this is true, a deal on reforms will have to be signed off by then. Debt coming due is […]
The large victory of the Syriza party in Greece, with Tsipras just one seat below absolute majority (see Table 1 below) raises the questions :”What will happen now in the Eurozone? Is a Grexit scenario possible?”My take here is that not much is likely to happen, except some tough bargain between the new government and […]